5 June 2025 | Dollar

US service sector business activity drops below 50 points due to Trump's tariff policies

US service sector business activity drops below 50 points due to Trump's tariff policies

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released concerning data on the US services sector’s performance in May. The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the sector fell by 1.7 points to 49.9. Bloomberg experts note that the 50-point threshold separates expansion from contraction in the industry.

Beyond the disappointing ISM figures, a decline in new orders and cost increases were recorded in the US. The latter hit their highest level since late 2022. The news agency suggests this reflects the American economy’s reaction to Donald Trump’s unpredictable tariff policies.

However, ISM's Steve Miller interprets the May data as a reflection of economic uncertainty rather than a downturn. Respondents report challenges with long-term planning under current conditions, with many delaying or reducing orders until the impact of US import duties becomes clearer, Miller emphasizes.

In May, eight service sectors—including retail trade and construction—showed a decline in activity, while accommodation and food services saw growth.

Elena Berseneva MarketCheese
Gold sell
Period: 03.07.2026 Expectation: 122 pips
Gold is trying to get back on its feet before Fed meeting
Today at 10:18 AM 2
Period: 03.08.2026 Expectation: 140 pips
Invest in SPX ahead of Fed meeting
Today at 09:38 AM 3
Period: 03.08.2026 Expectation: 3440 pips
Silver is under influence of lower crude prices and weaker dollar
Today at 06:58 AM 6
Period: 24.08.2026 Expectation: 700 pips
Invest in AUDCAD up to 0.99000
24 July 2026 36
Period: 31.07.2026 Expectation: 1700 pips
GBPUSD might keep falling towards lower boundary of descending triangle
24 July 2026 42
Period: 24.08.2026 Expectation: 4200 pips
Buying USDCAD ahead of Fed meeting
24 July 2026 32
Go to forecasts