30 June | Other

Japan's industrial output growth slowed in May on US tariffs

Japan's industrial output growth slowed in May on US tariffs

Bloomberg reports that Japan’s industrial production grew less than expected in May as US tariffs weighed on the nation’s exports

Factory output rose 0.5% compared to April, with economists projecting a gain of 3.5%. At the same time, industrial production declined 1.8% from a year earlier. Monthly output is expected to increase 0.3% in June and to contract 0.7% in July, the news agency reports. 

Production machinery led the monthly gain. Car output rose 2.5%, with production of other transportation vehicles falling 16.3%. Output for steel and non-ferrous metals increased 1.9%. 

It is now unclear whether the US baseline tariff on Japanese goods will return to 24% from the current 10%. Hideo Kumano of Dai-ichi Life Research Institute notes that trade talks between the two countries are likely to drag on. Japanese companies are responding by lowering prices in an attempt to maintain production volume. Such a move weighs on both corporate profits and employee benefits. That, in turn, could hit consumption.

Anton Volkov MarketCheese
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 1078 pips
GBPUSD falls as bullish pressure fades and budget risks loom
14 November 2025 26
Brent sell
Period: 28.11.2025 Expectation: 300 pips
Brent crude capped by $65–$66 resistance
14 November 2025 30
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 660 pips
AUDCAD may enter short-term correction
14 November 2025 28
Period: 21.11.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
Selling SPX as risk-off mood kicks in
14 November 2025 19
Period: 20.11.2025 Expectation: 280 pips
Fading bullish momentum is good reason to sell natural gas
13 November 2025 51
Period: 31.12.2025 Expectation: 800 pips
USDCAD with 1.4090 play is worth buying
13 November 2025 57
Go to forecasts